Exammyydj

4852 words 20 pages
2013

PMGT589 – Project Risk Management Assignment 2 – Group 5

PMGT5891 Project Risk Management

Assignment 2 – Group 5
Name: Felipe Arcila Eric Jonathan Ernst Bodamer Xintao Hou Minjie Shi Vagi William Student ID: 420160957 420177232 420149985 309108152 430154654

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PMGT589 – Project Risk Management 6/15/2013

PMGT589 – Project Risk Management Assignment 2 – Group 5

Table of Contents
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Activity 1 – PERT Model ..................................................................................................... 2 Activity 2 – Monte Carlo Model ......................................................................................... 4 Activity 3 – Decision Tree Model
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100 Times Iteration
The Histogram output from Excel is showing below. Bin 38333 38667 39000 39333 39667 40000 40333 40667 41000 41333 41667 42000 42333 42667 More Frequency 0 0 0 1 3 17 17 13 14 14 11 4 5 1 0 Cumulative % 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1.00% 4.00% 21.00% 38.00% 51.00% 65.00% 79.00% 90.00% 94.00% 99.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Histogram
18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 120.00% 100.00% 80.00% 60.00% 40.00% 20.00% 0.00%

Frequency

Bin

4

PMGT589 – Project Risk Management Assignment 2 – Group 5 1000 Times Iteration
The Histogram output from Excel is showing below. Bin 38333 38667 39000 39333 39667 40000 40333 40667 41000 41333 41667 42000 42333 42667 More Frequency 1 4 10 27 65 113 134 149 148 127 99 75 31 14 3 Cumulative % 0.10% 0.50% 1.50% 4.20% 10.70% 22.00% 35.40% 50.30% 65.10% 77.80% 87.70% 95.20% 98.30% 99.70% 100.00%

Histogram
160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 120.00% 100.00% 80.00% 60.00% 40.00% 20.00% 0.00%

Frequency

Bin

5000 Times Iteration
The Histogram output from Excel is showing below. Bin 38333 38667 39000 39333 39667 40000 40333 40667 41000 41333 41667 42000 42333 42667 More Frequency 2 9 60 158 302 492 708 775 749 658 497 326 180 54 30 Cumulative % 0.04% 0.22% 1.42% 4.58% 10.62% 20.46% 34.62% 50.12% 65.10% 78.26% 88.20% 94.72% 98.32% 99.40% 100.00%

Histogram
900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 120.00% 100.00% 80.00% 60.00% 40.00% 20.00% 0.00%

Frequency

Bin

5

PMGT589 – Project Risk Management

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